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Foreword by Paul Pillar Acknowledgements Abbreviations 1. Introduction: A Story of (Irrational) Great Expectations 2: Policy Making and Specialist Advice: Concepts and Approaches 3: Empowering Nightmares: Uncertainty and the Precautionary Principle 4: Legitimizing the Iraq Intervention: Threat Inflation versus Precaution 5: Climate Change and the Politics of Precaution 6: Uncertainty, Ideology, and the Politics of Denial 7: Revealing Values and Uncertainty in Policy Debate 8: Alternative Responses to Uncertainty: Bringing Politics Back in 9: Uncertainty as Deus Ex Machina: Some Concluding Remarks Notes Bibliography |