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Preface xi Acknowledgements xv 1. What are Alternative Assets? 1 Illiquid 2 Unquoted 2 Non bonds or equities 3 Are alternative assets really “alternative”? 3 Thoughts on classification 6 Private assets 6 Commodity type assets 9 Volatility and valuation issues 10 Time horizons 12 Global Tactical Asset Allocation (GTAA) 13 An alternative way of accessing conventional assets? 15 What we will be considering 16 Summary 17 2. Investing in Alternative Assets 19 Why should we invest in alternative assets? 19 The traditional worldview 20 Risk (volatility) 20 Liquidity 22 Problems posed by the traditional world view so far as alternative assets are concerned 23 The tail wags the dog 23 The parallel universe of pension funds 24 Volatility as risk 25 Liquidity 27 How much liquidity do you really need? 28 The illiquidity premium 29 Problems with liquidity 30 The stock market goes supernova 31 Liquidity and volatility 31 Liquidity and correlation 32 Extending the efficient frontier 33 Correlation 35 Active and passive investing ? beta and alpha 37 The rationale for alternative assets 40 Summary 41 3. Real estate 43 Real estate beta 45 Real estate exposure 46 Direct 47 Quoted 48 Quoted (1): property companies 48 Quoted (2): REITS 49 Quoted (3): ETFs 50 Unquoted (1): unlisted property funds 50 Unquoted (2): private real estate 53 Synthetic 57 Summary 61 4. Energy 63 Spot trading 64 Influences on pricing 65 Untapped reserves 65 The (US) strategic petroleum reserve 65 Production and growth in oil hungry economies 65 Weather 66 Political factors 66 Terrorism 67 The US dollar 67 Accessing oil as an investment 69 Investing in the shares of oil companies 69 Synthetic exposure 71 Oil ETFs 73 Bio-fuels 75 Natural gas 77 Oil and gas royalties 79 Energy as an investment 82 Summary 83 5. Private Equity 85 Private equity ? definition and types 85 Buyout 86 Drivers 87 History and development 88 Development capital 89 Characteristics 89 Minority shareholder protection 90 Deal types 91 Growth capital 91 Venture capital 92 Venture returns and home runs 94 Mezzanine 95 Quoted private equity 95 Private equity funds 97 Private equity returns 99 The J-Curve, IRRS and multiples 100 Vintage year returns 102 Funds, funds of funds and secondaries 102 Concluding thoughts on private equity 103 Summary 105 6. Hedge Funds 107 Introduction 107 Use of derivative instruments 108 Leverage 110 Some common elements 112 Legal structure 112 Type of trades 113 Lack of transparency 113 How hedge funds invest ? an overview 114 Long and long/short 114 Credit based 116 Global macro 117 Specific strategies 117 Long only 118 Long/short 118 (Equity) market neutral 118 Convertible arbitrage 118 Statistical arbitrage (“stat arb”) 119 Merger arbitrage 120 Fixed income arbitrage 120 Global macro 121 Event driven 121 Distressed 121 Fund of funds 122 The hedge fund model ? pros, cons and the future 123 Redemption/co-investor risk 125 Some final thoughts on hedge funds 126 Summary 127 7. Infrastructure 129 What is infrastructure? 131 Secondary and primary infrastructure 132 Regulated and demand-driven 133 Drivers 133 Government 134 Investors 134 Industry 134 Threats 135 Regulatory/governmental 135 Funding 137 War and terrorism 137 Quoted and unquoted infrastructure 138 Quoted infrastructure (1): industrial companies 138 Quoted infrastructure (2): listed investment vehicles 140 Unquoted infrastructure (1): projects (typically PFI or PPP type) 143 Unquoted infrastructure (2): funds 144 Returns 145 Summary 146 8. Commodities 147 What are “commodities”? 148 How can we classify commodities? 149 Soft commodities 149 Hard commodities 150 What are the return drivers? 151 Commodities beta 152 Prices and indices 152 Is it investable? 153 US dollar currency risk 155 Are they representative? 156 Counterparty risk 158 Renewal effect 160 Commodity returns 161 What can be stated? 162 What other factors are relevant? 163 The case for commodities 164 Summary 165 9. Gold 167 Introduction 167 Inflation 168 Gold as a safe haven 169 Gold as a hedge against US dollar weakness 172 Gold as a diversifier 172 Returns 173 Gold doesn’t have babies 174 Fixing the gold price 175 How to invest in gold 176 Gold shares 177 Physical ownership 178 Synthetic ownership 180 Indirect ownership 182 Summary 183 10. Active Currency 185 How can an investor make money by investing in currency? 187 Are the currency markets a zero sum game? 188 Institutional approaches 190 Risk management 190 Active currency 192 Liquidity 193 Volatility 193 Correlation 194 Active currency strategies 194 The carry trade 195 Momentum/trend investing 196 Value investing 197 Active currency beta 199 What is the beta measure we are discussing? 199 What is the methodology? 200 Is the DBCR investable? 202 Final Considerations for Active Currency 203 Summary 203 11. Other Alternative Assets 205 Forestry 208 Returns and correlation 208 Direct and indirect forestry 209 Gem stones 210 Works of art 212 Musical instruments 213 Antiques 214 Wine 215 Classic cars 218 Other collectables ? coins, medals, stamps, militaria, snuff boxes, perfume bottles, etc. 220 Yet more …? 221 Conclusion 222 Summary 223 Index 225 |