List of Illustrations: Tables, Figures, Maps 11
Preface 13
I A World of Civilizations
1. The New Era in World Politics 19
Introduction: Flags and Cultural Identity 19
A Multipolar, Multicivilizational World 21
Other Worlds? 29
Comparing Worlds: Realism, Parsimony, and Predictions 36
2. Civilizations in History and Today 40
The Nature of Civilizations 40
Relations Among Civilizations 48
3. A Universal Civilization? Modernization and Westernization 56
Universal Civilization: Meanings 56
Universal Civilization: Sources 66
The West and Modernization 68
Responses to the West and Modernization 72
II The Shifting Balance of Civilizations
4. The Fading of the West: Power, Culture, and Indigenization 81
Western Power: Dominance and Decline 81
Indigenization: The Resurgence of Non-Western Cultures 91
La Revanche De Dieu 95
5. Economics, Demography, and the Challenger Civilizations 102
The Asian Affirmation 103
The Islamic Resurgence 109
Changing Challenges 120
III The Emerging Order of Civilizations
6. The Cultural Reconfiguration of Global Politics 125
Groping for Groupings: The Politics of Identity 125
Culture and Economic Cooperation 130
The Structure of Civilizations 135
Corn Countries: The Failure of Civilization Shifting 139
7. Core States, Concentric Circles, and Civilizational Order 155
Civilizations And Order 155
Bounding the West 157
Russia and Its Near Abroad 163
Greater China and Its Co-Prosperity Sphere 168
Islam: Consciousness Without Cohesion 174
IV Clashes of Civilizations
8. The West and the Rest: Intercivilizational Issues 183
Western Universalism 183
Weapons Proliferation 186
Human Rights and Democracy 192
Immigration 198
9. The Global Politics of Civilizations 207
Core State and Fault Line Conflicts 207
Islam and the West 209
Asia, China, and America 218
Civilizations and Core States: Emerging Alignments 238
10. Form Transition Wars to Fault Line Wars 246
Transition Wars: Afghanistan and the Gulf 246
Characteristics of Fault Line Wars 252
Incidence: Islam's Bloody Borders 254
Causes: History, Demography, Politics 259
11. The Dynamics of Fault Line Wars 266
Identity: The Rise of Civilization Consciousness 266
Civilization Rallying: Kin Countries and Diasporas 272
Halting Fault Line Wars 291
V The Future of Civilizations
12. The West, Civilizations, and Civilization 301
The Renewal of the West? 301
The West in the World 308
Civilizational War and Order 312
The Commonalities of Civilization 318
Notes 323
Index 353