Introduction

· A grand-strategic watershed

· The catalysts for change

· Testing Japanese resilience

‘Hardware’ and ‘software’

Chapter One: Japan’s shifting strategic compass

· Maritime Japan

· Four strategic phases

· A triangle and triangulation

Chapter Two: Building Japanese deterrence and response capabilities ? defence and diplomacy

· Changing defence assumptions

· Japan’s strategic shift to the Southwest Islands

· Building defence and defence-industrial resilience

· Cyber, intelligence and space

· Defence diplomacy ? networking deterrence

Chapter Three: New tools of Japanese security

· Japan’s ‘comprehensive national power’

· Japan’s evolving geo-economic power

· Economic security ? increasing Japanese geo-economic agency

· Economic security and industrial policy

Chapter Four: Structural impediments

· Japan acquires its strategic ‘rheostat’

· Demographic and fiscal headwinds

· Societal change

Conclusion

· Structural change in Japan

· Japan’s capacity to deliver