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Preface xi
Acknowledgments-How This Book Came to Pass xv The Anatomy of a Super Stock Get Rich with the "Glitch" 3 Analyzing Super Stocks-In Search of "The Perfect Glitch" What Makes the Glitch Twitch? 17 Tough Times Separate the Men from the Boys: A Warning First They'll Bitch at the Glitch "Success Has a Thousand Fathers, but Failure Is a Bastard." Some Companies Make It-Some Don't Valuation Analysis Conventional Approaches to Stock Valuation-The Riddle: Ten Times Earning's Is too High and a Thousand Times Is Too Low 31 The Problem: If Left Field and Right Field Don't Work, Get Out of the Stadium Earnings-Based Methods: The "Underpriced, Low P/E" School The Growth Stock School of Thought The Ben Graham Approach-"Remarkable but Not Enough." The Solution Pricing Is Everything-Use Price Sales Ratios 39 Bulls, Bears, and Turkeys Understanding Price Sales Ratios (PSRs) What Does the Relationship between Price and Sales Mean? A Case in Point: The Datapoint A Super Stock Is a Super Company Bought at a Low PSR Relative to the Company's Size What Is a Low PSR, What Is a High PSR, and Why? Studying the Solution Getting the Right Slant on Stocks Swimming Upstream as You Grow A Fear of Heights The Threshold of Never-Never Land The Economics of Going Public Price Research Ratios-The Cost of a Good Set of Brains 61 The Problem-Landing a Whale What is the Price Research Ratio? Research Is Just aCommodity Market Research Wags Technical Research: The Solution Rules for Using PRRs Problems with PRRs Applying Price Sales Ratios to Nonsuper Stocks 75 PSRs, the Broader Concept Lessons of the Past-PSRs in the Bull Market of the 1960s and Early 1970s PSRs and the Great American Smokestack Stock Use PSRs as THE Stock Market Timing Device Fisher's Rules for Timing the Stock Market PSRs in the "Garbage Dump" of the Stock Market Fortunes from Failures-The Myth of the 1930s 95 Through the Time Warp IBM Not a Growth Stock? Spectacular Profits with Low-PSR Stocks What about All Those Great Companies? Fundamental Analysis Super Companies: The Business Aspects-Stalking Excellence 109 Basic Business Traits Growth Orientation Marketing Excellence: Quanta-Ray: "Underpromise; Overperform"-Customers Are the Best Salesmen Is Management in Control of Marketing? How Are Sales and Service Handled? Find the Unfair Advantage: Does the Customer Get the "Best Bang for the Buck"? Labor Relations Are Critical Financial Controls-Question the Answers Avoid Risk-Avoid Competition 127 David and the Anteaters Avoid the Places Anteaters Hang Out The Japanese Zap Large Markets-Sometimes Small (and Different) Is Beautiful Remember Your Teddy Roosevelt-Walk Softly but Carry a Strong Balance Sheet Who Stands behind the Financials? Who Has Controlling Interest? Margin Analysis-All I Really Want in Life Is an Unfair Advantage 135 The Problem Some Definitions Look for Clues from the Past: Who Kicked the Sleeping Dog? When in Doubt, Ask! From Rags to Riches Something Rather Unique Must Be Done All I Really Want in Life Is an Unfair Advantage: High Market Share Can Be an Unfair Advantage Relative Market Share Is More Powerful Still Margin Analysis Continued-Formulas and Rules 149 A Forecasting Formula for Margin Analysis: Some Examples Rules for Margin Analysis No One Is Perfect-You Don't Have to Be Dynamics Into Action-There's Method to the Madness 159 Where Is the Magic Key? Opportunities Are Seldom Labeled: Scan for Low PSRs Scan for Money-Losing Companies Scan for Qualitative Assessments of Superior Companies The Best Research Facilities Cost Nothing to Use Take an Important Side Step in Time The Key to Esoteric and Little-Known Publications Avoid Competition from Wall Street Visit the Company: Getting Your Foot in the Door Contact Customers, Competitors, Suppliers, and Investment Professionals It's Time to Reach a Conclusion Bringing It All Back Home-When to Sell 179 When Is the Bloom off the Rose? Beware of Heights: There Is Nothing Like a Good Long Ride After You've Sold, You've Reached the End of the Line Verbatim Corporation-Disco Baby 183 Early History: The President Is Gone A Competitor by Comparison The Stock and the PSR: Taking the Plunge The Competitive Nappers Wake Up Smiling All the Way to the Bank California Microwave-Ride the Wave 209 Early History This Company Was Worth Further Investigation Oops! The Other Shoe Drops Taking the Plunge Riding the Wave New Blood Everybody Loves a Happy Ending Appendixes Appendix 1 235 Appendix 2 239 Appendix 3 241 Appendix 4 245 Appendix 5 249 Appendix 6 253 Index 263 |
Ken Fisher,Kenneth L. Fisher
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