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1. What Does It Mean to Think Like a Freak? 1
An endless supply of fascinating questions The pros and cons of breast-feeding, fracking, and virtual currencies There is no magic Freakonomics tool Easy problems evaporate; it is hard ones that linger How to win the World Cup Private benefits vs. the greater good Thinking with a different set of muscles Are married people happy or do happy people marry? Get famous by thinking just once or twice a week Our disastrous meeting with the future prime minister 2. The Three Hardest Words in the English Language 20 Why is "I don't know" so hard to say? Sure, kids make up answers but why do we? Who believes in the devil? And who believes 9/11 was an inside job? "Entrepreneurs of error" Why measuring cause-and-effect is so hard The folly of prediction Are your predictions better than a dart-throwing chimp? The Internet's economic impact will be "no greater than the fax machine's" "Untracrepidarianism" The cost of pretending to know more than you do How should bad predictions be punished? The Romanian witch hunt The first step in solving problems: put away your moral compass Why suicide rises with quality of life-and how little we know about suicide Feedback is the key to all learning How bad were the first loaves of bread? Don't leave experimentation to the scientists Does more expensive wine taste better? 3. What's Your Problem? 54 If you ask the wrong question, you'll surely get the wrong answer What does "school reform" really mean? Why do American kids know less than kids from Estonia? Maybe it's the parent's fault! The amazing true story of Takeru Kobayashi, hot-dog-eating champion Fifty hot dogs in twelve minutes! So how did he do it? And why was he so much better than everyone else? "To eat quickly is not very good manners" The Solomon Method Endless experimentation in pursuit of excellence Arrested! How to redefine the problem you are trying to solve The brain is the critical organ How to ignore artificial barriers Can you do 20 push-ups? 4. Like a Bad Dye Job, the Truth Is in the Roots 73 A bucket of cash will not cure poverty and a plane-load of food will not cur famine How to find the root cause of a problem Revisiting the abortion-crime link What does Martin Luther have to do with the German economy? How the "Scramble for Africa" created lasting strife Why did slave traders lick the skin of the slaves they bought? Medicine vs. folklore Consider the ulcer The first blockbuster drugs Why did the young doctor swallow a batch of dangerous bacteria? Talk about gastric upset! The universe that lives in our gut The power of poop 5. Think Like a Child 98 How to have good ideas The power of thinking small Smarter kids at $15 a pop Don't be afraid of the obvious 1.6 million of anything is a lot Don't be seduced by complexity What to look for in a junkyard The human body is just a machine Freaks just want to have fun It is hard to get good at something you don't like Is a "no-lose lottery" that answer to our low savings rate? Gambling meets charity Why kids figure out magic tricks better than adults "You'd think scientists would be hard to dupe" How to smuggle childlike instincts across the adult border 6. Like Giving Candy to a Bady 119 It's the incentives, stupid! A girl, a bag of candy, and a toilet What financial incentives can and can't do The giant milk necklace Cash for grades With financial incentives, size matters How to determine someone's true incentives Riding the herd mentality Why are moral incentives so weak? Let's steal some petrified wood! One of the most radical ideas in the history of philanthropy "The most dysfunctional $300 billion industry in the world" A one-night stand for charitable donors How to change the frame of a relationship Ping-Pong diplomacy and selling shoes "You guys are just the best!" The customer is a human wallet When incentives backfire The "cobra effect" Why treating people with decency is a good idea 7. What Do King Solomon and David Lee Roth Have in Common? 155 A pair of nice, Jewish, game-theory-loving boys "Fetch me a sword!" What the brown M&M's were really about Teach your garden to weed itself Did medieval "ordeals" of boiling water really work? You too can play God once in a while Why are college applications so much longer than job applications? Zappos and "The Offer" The secret bullet factory's warm-beer alarm Why do Nigerian scammers say they are from Nigeria? The cost of false alarms and other false positives Will all the gullible people please come forward? How to trick a terrorist into letting you know he's a terrorist 8. How to Persuade People Who Don't Want to Be Persuaded 188 First, understand how hard this will be Why are better-educated people more extremist? Logic and fact are no match for ideology The consumer has the only vote that counts Don't pretend your argument is perfact How many lives would a driverless car save? Keep the insults to yourself Why you should tell stories Is eating fat really so bad? The Encyclopedia of Ethical Failure What is the Bible "about?" The Ten Commandments versus The Brady Bunch 9. The Upside of Quitting 213 Winston Churchill was right-and wrong The sunk-cost fallacy and opportunity cost You can't solve tomorrow's problem if you won't abandon today's dud Celebrating failure with a party and cake Why the flagship Chinese store did not open on time Were the Challenger's O-rings bound to fail? Learn how you might fail without going to the trouble of failing The $1 million question: "when to struggle and when to quit" Would you let a coin toss decide your future? "Should I quit the Mormon faith" Growing a beard will not make you happy But ditching your girlfriend might Why Dubner and Levitt are so fond of quitting This whole book was about "letting go" And now it's your turn Acknowledgments 239 Notes 241 |
Stephen J. Dubner
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Steven D. Levitt
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