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Preface xi
Acknowledgments xix 1. Write What You Know 1 2. Why Seemingly Trivial Random Events Matter 21 3. How Winner-Take-All Markets Magnify Luck's Role 40 4. Why the Biggest Winners Are Almost Always Lucky 56 5. Why False Beliefs about Luck and Talent Persist 69 6. The Burden of False Beliefs 86 7. We're in Luck A Golden Opportunity 109 8. Being Grateful 128 Appendix 1 Detailed Simulation Results for Chapter 4 151 Appendix 2 Frequently Asked Questions about the Progressive Consumption Tax 158 Notes 173 Index 183 |
Robert H. Frank
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