요약 ·························································································ⅸ


Ⅰ. 서론 1


Ⅱ. 동북아 정세 9

1. 머리말 ··········································································11

2. 주요국의 외교안보전략 ·················································14

3. 동북아 양자 및 다자관계 ·············································26

4. 동북아 미래 시나리오 ··················································54

5. 전망과 고려 사항 ························································75


Ⅲ. 북한의 대내외 관계 105

1. 머리말 ········································································107

2. 대남정책의 측면 ·························································108

3. 권력 재편의 측면 ·······················································146

4. 경제정책과 현황의 측면 ·············································165

5. 전망과 고려 사항 ·······················································172


Ⅳ. 인구 추세 189

1. 머리말 ········································································191

2. 인구 현황 ···································································192

3. 향후 추세: 2015~2030년 ········································205

4. 전망과 고려 사항 ·······················································217


Ⅴ. 정보통신의 내부 확산 233

1. 머리말 ········································································235

2. 현황 ···········································································237

3. 향후 추세 ···································································260

4. 전망과 고려 사항 ·······················································280


Ⅵ. 기후변화와 자연재해 299

1. 머리말 ········································································301

2. 세계기후의 변화 현황과 예측 ····································302

3. 한반도의 기후변화 실태와 전망 ·································305

4. 북한의 현황과 대처능력 ·············································314

5. 전망과 고려 사항 ·······················································327


Ⅶ. 요약 그리고 정책 고려 사항 353



참고문헌 ················································································367

최근 발간자료 안내 ·······························································379